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Free Updates

RTY-mini: Setting the Stage for Another Leg Down

November 3, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

RTY-mini has been consolidating on Thursday after the strong decline, a reaction to the bearish statements of the FED Chairman … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags RTY Leave a comment

RTY-mini: We Nailed the Top and We Almost Nailed the Turn Date

November 2, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

In my previous update I noted that if we apply Gann’s 45 day cycle we may expect RTY to top … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Nailed, RTY Leave a comment

ES-mini: Macro Update Before FOMC on Wednesday

November 1, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

I have two bearish macro scenarios on my table. (1) The Bearish Scenario 1 considers the October rally as a … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES, FOMC Leave a comment

RTY-mini: Looks Very Toppy and Ready for a Reversal

November 1, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

RTY-mini futures stretched higher overnight and tagged the upper edge of the ascending bearish looking wedge: RTY has made enough … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags bearish wedge, Double Three, RTY Leave a comment

ES-mini: My Primary Wave Count is Bearish

October 31, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

This A up, B down, C up consolidation that started at the end of September looks kike a corrective wave … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES, Expanded Flat Leave a comment

RTY: Weekend Macro Update

October 30, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Off the all time high made in Niov’21, Russell has been leaking down in a complex Double Three structure labelled … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags RTY, weekend Leave a comment

Bitcoin: Setting Up for the Final Flush to the Bottom

October 30, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Bears have tested the support 18,540 (see the blue line) six or seven times. So far it has held but … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags (i) down (ii) up, Bitcoin Leave a comment

RTY: Completing a Corrective Pattern off the September low

October 28, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

1,860 has been the target for this move up. It is the confluence of fibs: – 138.2% ext of wave … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Double Three, RTY Leave a comment

$ES-mini: Has Held Over the Support

October 27, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Bad report from AMZN crushed NQ but ES-mini has held over upward sloped 200 MA on 60 min chart (see … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES Leave a comment

NQ: Broke Under Support and Confirmed Completion of a Pullback

October 27, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

NQ-mini keeps following the bearish wave count: Under that scenario NQ completed an A up, B down, C up structure … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags NQ Leave a comment

Crude Oil: Keeps Following Our Bullish Path

October 27, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Crude keeps following the bullish wave count nicely: In the previous update I pointed you to the bullish -i- up, … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Crude Oil Leave a comment

$DJIA: May Be Setting Up for A Big Drop

October 26, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

MACRO UPDATE OF @YM – E-mini Dow futures Dow futures has been following a complex corrective pattern called Double Three … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags DJIA, Double Three Leave a comment

$ES: Following the Bullish Path to 4,050

October 26, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

That bullish count shows a possible destination for this corrective A up, B down, C up structure at 4,050: The … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES Leave a comment

$RTY: The Rally Has a Clean Corrective Structure

October 26, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

If we look at the chart below you can see a corrective Double Three structure labelled (w)-(x)-(y) up: According to … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Double Three, RTY Leave a comment

$ES-mini: The Bullish Count Lacks A Foundation for a Rally

October 24, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Under the Bullish Scenario we can get a five wave up rally in wave C up. Any impulsive rally in … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES, Green Box Leave a comment

$TSLA: Approaching the Green Target Box

October 24, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

TSLA is approaching the Green Box: We should get a relatively large corrective pullback in wave B up off that … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Green Box, TSLA Leave a comment

$DXY: US Dollar: Bulls have a Setup to Push Higher Again

October 24, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

DXY, the US Dollar index has super clean bullish micro count that argues that wave 3 up has not topped … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags DXY Leave a comment

NQ-mini: Bulls Invalidated the Bearish Count and Made our Santa’s Rally the Primary Path

October 23, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

The Weekend Update The previous Weekend Update outlined two scenarios, the Bearish and the Bullish ones. On Friday I updated … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Bear Market Rally, NQ Leave a comment

ES-mini: Did Friday Rally Invalidated the Bearish Scenario?

October 23, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

The Weekend Update Let’s review two alternative Macro Counts based on Daily charts of ES-mini futures. (1) We will start … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Bear Market Rally, ES, failed breakout Leave a comment

NQ-mini: Attractive Short Setup

October 21, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

We have an attractive short -i- down, -ii- up setup with a tight protective stop over 11,328:

Categories Free Updates Tags -i- down -ii- up setup, NQ Leave a comment

S&P 500: Macro Update: Two Bearish Scenarios

October 21, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

We have two alternative counts in SPX. Both are bearish. Let’s starts from the (i) Optimistic Bearish Scenario: Under the … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Macro, S&P Leave a comment

ES-mini: Bulls Failed to Break Over Resistance But Managed to Keep the Bullish Scenario Alive

October 20, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

On Thursday bulls failed again to climb over 3,734. Below I show you the bearish scenario where ES is slowly … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags consolodation, ES Leave a comment

Crude Oil: Looks Ready to Break Out

October 19, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Crude looks strong today and vastly outperforms equities. To confirm a bullish reversal crude has to climb over 85.57. Once … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Crude Oil, i up - ii down setup Leave a comment

We Continue Tracking Two Very Different Scenarios for ES-mini here

October 18, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Let’s review the bearish wave count first: Off the low labelled (a) down we got an a-b-c move up labelled … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES Leave a comment

NQ: MACRO UPDATE: We still have to consider two very different paths.

October 18, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Let’s start from reviewing the Bearish Path: Under that count the -a- up, -b- down, -c- up whipsaw that has … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags NQ Leave a comment

ES-mini: Rallied As Expected and Hit the Red Target Box

October 18, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

As we expected yesterday, bulls pushed ES overnight and hit our target at 3,745. Let’s first review our Bearish scenario: … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES, failed breakout Leave a comment

ES-mini: Produced a Strong Bounce, What Comes Next?

October 17, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

In my weekend update I correctly predicted a bullish bounce: Under that bearish wave count I expected to get an … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES, failed breakout Leave a comment

Crude Oil: Testing the Green Box

October 17, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Crude Oil drew a bullish descending wedge over the period from June to September 2022: Crude broke out of that … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Bullish Wedge, Crude Oil Leave a comment

Silver: Started a Flat Consolidation to Be Followed by The Final Flush

October 17, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Silver seems having started a corrective flat a-b-c up consolidation in subwave (b) up of wave (v) down: That is … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Silver Leave a comment

ES-mini: The Weekend Update: My Green Box is Located 200 points Lower

October 16, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

The Weekend Update Let me share two important inputs that we should take into consideration before we start working on … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES, Green Box, weekend Leave a comment

ES-mini: Bulls Violated the Critical Resistance

October 14, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

To confirm completion of the rally, bears need to push ES back under the June low = 3,655.75: In contrast, … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES Leave a comment

S&P 500:
Played the Bounce
We Predicted

October 13, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Yesterday I posted that scenario for S&P 500 cash index: I noted that “the Very bearish Daily count allows bulls … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Running Flat, S&P Leave a comment

$ES-mini: This Rally Completed a Corrective Bounce

October 13, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

In my previous updates I expected another push higher in subwave c up. We got that rally but only after … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES, Expanded Flat Leave a comment

RTY-mini: the Short-Squeeze Rally Does Not Change the Bearish Count

October 13, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

RTY still holds inside the yellow box for a corrective consolidation: I count that rally as subwave c of a … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags RTY Leave a comment

NQ-mini: The Target for This Drop is 10,000 – 9,800

October 13, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

In mid September we got a shallow a-b-c up bounce in subwave -b- up followed by another drop (see the … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags NQ Leave a comment

ES-mini Broke Under Strong Support

October 13, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

A tight consolidation in ES-mini was followed by a strong drop caused by CPI release at 8-30 AM EST on … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Breakdown, ES Leave a comment

$SPX: Even The Very Bearish Count Allows Bulls Another Dead Cat Bounce

October 12, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

Quite often ES-mini (futures that are traded overnight) and the original S&P 500 index (calculated only during regular trading hours) … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags S&P Leave a comment

RTY-mini: Bears Have a Setup to Drive it Down to New Lows

October 12, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

RTY has a clean bearish wave count: Bears can drive RTY down 1,652 – 1,600 in subwave c of wave … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags Double Three, RTY Leave a comment

Silver: Can Drop 20% To Approach My Target

October 12, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

No change in the bearish Harmonic Elliott wave count of silver. During July – October 2022 silver produced a flat … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags SLV Leave a comment

$ES-mini: Trading Plan A and Plan B for Wednesday

October 12, 2022 by CastAwayTrader

In the evening update I noted that ES may bounce before breaking down under 3,571. This morning we got a … Read more

Categories Free Updates Tags ES, i up - ii down setup Leave a comment
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