ES & NQ - I hardly see how the market may make one more push to a new lower low
Many many traders have been expecting the market to make one more push lower under 2,200 on S&P before a corrective rally starts.
However, the market played tricky and rallied hard on Tuesday. Both Es and NQ violated resistance levels.
Nevertheless there are many traders who still wait for that push lower.
My problem that major bottoms are made on extreme fear. Last week the sentiment indicator I follow hit 0.0. That means that last week we had two days that were more bearish than any other trading day in history since 1995. When that indicator hit zero in November 2008 the market rallied by 20% in the following two weeks.
I talk about that indicator in my new video posted yesterday.
Watch the video from 26:24 minute
A higher high made after close looks like an extension of subwave -c of wave -i- up.
Note that subwave -c- topped at 123.6% ext of subwave -a- up.
I still expect a corrective -a-b-c- down structure off the top that could retrace at least 50% of the move up in wave -i- up.
NQ - 9,000 tick bar chart updated at 9-00 PM on 3-24-2020
ES mini has the very same count.
A higher high made after close looks like an extension of subwave -c of wave -i- up.
I still expect a corrective -a-b-c- down structure off the top that could retrace at least 50% of the move up in wave -i- up.
ES - 4,500 tick bar chart updated at 9-00 PM on 3-24-2020
I think NQ and ES have started a corrective pullback in wave ( ii ) down ( see the model chart below).
After completion of wave -ii- down I expect continuation of the rally in wave -iii- up.
That large wave -C- of ( B ) may target 2,800 in case of S&P.
Previous Updates:
Important Disclaimer
CastAway Trader LLC, the publisher of this web-site and videos is not registered as an investment adviser nor a broker/dealer with either the U. S. Securities & Exchange Commission or any state securities regulatory authority. Users of the website www.castawaytrader.com and viewers of the videos are advised that all information presented on the website is solely for informational purposes, is not intended to be used as a personalized investment recommendation, and is not attuned to any specific portfolio or to any user’s particular investment needs or objectives.
Trading stocks, options, or futures carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. CastAway Trader LLC provides general overview of trading methods that does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this website must not be construed as personal advice. All trading setups and/or trades presented in the web site and/or trading chat room by CastAway Trader an/or by other members of the chat should be considered hypothetical for educational purposes only and should not be expected to be replicated in a live trading account.
An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. You should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading. You should seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
Any information posted on this web site is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor is it to be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security. All users of the website must determine for themselves what specific investments to make or not make and are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors with respect to any investment decision. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. All opinions, analyses and information posted on the website are based on sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but should be independently verified, and no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, is made, including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. In addition, CastAwayTrader LLC and its officers and employees undertake no responsibility to notify such opinions, analyses or information or to keep such opinions, analyses or information current. Also be aware that the owners, officers and employees of the web site www.castawaytrader.com may have long or short positions in securities that may be discussed on the website, Premium Trading Chat room and/or in the videos posted by CastAway Trader LLC.
Past results are not indicative of future profits.