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CastAway Trader Predict the Next Market Move

Subscription: Value Stocks

$GPRK - the stock we talked about two days ago rallies 6.5%

GeoPark Ltd is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company. Its business activities include drilling, developing and producing oil and gas. The company has exploration blocks in Colombia, Chile, Brazil, Peru, and Argentina. The revenue generated by the company includes ale of crude oil, condensate and natural gas. The company’s business segments based on the geographic region are Colombia, Chile, Brazil, Peru, and Argentina.
I first posted about GPRK on Monday: “We do not often see such a clean five wave up fractal. It looks ready to rally in wave C of 5 that may easily stretch to over $25.00” Today it is adding +6.5%. That example shows you can find good stories even in such a bad corner of the market as energy is!

GPRK - Daily Chart updated on 6-19-2019

Financial Strength

The company has great profitability ratios and has a limited debt slightly exceeding annual EBITDA. And the company is cheap. Currently it is traded at 9 x Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow. I have two main concerns though. First, it is a fairly small $1 bln market cap stock. I normally do not buy any company that has a smaller market cap than $1 bln. So this one is on the edge. The second concerns is that the company is an energy play. And long term I have been bearish on crude. However, that company has been able to keep making money even in that tough market environment. I will go long with a small position and will see how it works.

Operating Margin

11.7

Net
Margin

43.6

Return on Capital

59

Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow

9

Debt-to-Ebitda

1.3

Dividend Yield

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HIGH RISK WARNING
Trading stocks, options, or futures carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. CastAway Trader LLC provides general overview of trading methods that does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this website must not be construed as personal advice. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss in excess of your deposited funds and therefore, you should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading. You should seek advice from an independent financial advisor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future profits.

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