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Since Bitcoin has topped in the wave i of the low which I count as the BOTTOM I have been expecting a lengthy but flat consolidation in the wave ii down.
After the first drop to 3,800 on 24 Feb 2019 I wrote:
“This current drop into 3,820 is clearly only the first leg down in wave a of ii.”
Back then it was clear we are going to get a corrective wave b up but it was impossible to predict how high it could get. Therefore I wrote:
“Despite the fact we should get a corrective wave b up and that could get as high as the previous top over 4,000 I would encourage you not to take your chances and wait for a corrective wave b up to top and then you may try to short Bitcoin for the final leg of corrective decline in wave c of ii down.”
This corrective pullback in wave b up stretched to 4,150. However, on 3/18/2019 I reaffirmed my bearish outlook for another drop targeting 3,650. (please see the chart below).
As of know we have got the first confirmation of that coming drop. We have got the first wave i down. That final wave c of ii down should be subdivided into five waves. And so far we have got wave i down and wave ii up. The next move may be a sharp drop in wave iii to 3,840 or even lower.
At this point I am clarifying my target for that final drop down that would complete wave ii down and set up a stage for a new rally targeting new 2019 high. Currently I expect that drop will complete at 3,780 – 3,700. Then the next rally in wave a of iii should target 4,650-4,850.
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