Subscription: Access to Micro Counts of US indices
ES mini - holds potential for another rally
Yesterday three indices completed a nice a-b-c pullback and aligned for another rally. You may watch my short video explaining that setup here.
The video was recorded based on the chart shown below. That is the count we have been following for several days. Under this count this move is the final move up in wave c of v before a meaningful correction.Now I want to show you a little bit more bullish scenario (please scroll below).
I call the scenario shown on the chart below “More Bullish” one. Under that scenario yesterday we completed a corrective wave iv down and now it is working on wave a of v targeting the previous high made by the rally in wave iii up at 2,900. I really like that scenario. Let me explain you why. First, in the previous scenario wave c of iii = 150% of a of iii. That is totally acceptable but not common.In that “More Bullish scenario wave iii hit a very common 176.4% extension for wave c of iii. Second, under the previous scenario wave a of v traveled past beyond the top of the wave iii up. Again, that is acceptable but the textbook pattern suggest that wave a of v stalls at the top of wave iii. If this current move up stalls at around 2,900 that would be a good confirmation of that “More Bullish count”. Finally, wave iv in the previous count was structured as a sharp drop. This is a textbook pattern for a minor wave iv down preceding push higher in completion of wave ( c ) of ( iii )! Now if we look at a-b-c correction down we completed yesterday it is big enough to be counted as a textbook wave iv down. For those reasons I am making now that “More Bullish count” (below) my primary one.