$SPX: Corrective Pullback is Expected

$SPX #SPX500

Today marks the first trading day of a new month. Let’s see if volatility returns to the market today or tomorrow.

The key level of support remains the February 2025 high at 6,166.50.
The S&P 500 has stretched higher, and the microstructure of the final subwave (c) of wave (v) up appears complete.

SPX – 15 min chart

SPX // 120-min chart (cash index)
Zooming out, the recent rally can be interpreted in two ways:

As a completed subwave A of wave 5 up, or
As a completed subwave (a) of wave (iii) up

SPX 120 min chart

In either case, a corrective pullback or consolidation is now expected.
The first micro target is 6,060, which marks the upper boundary of the unfilled gap from June 24.

RSP // Weekly Chart
Let’s also examine RSP, the ETF tracking the equal-weighted S&P 500:

RSP weekly chart

As you can see, that macro wave count allows bulls to push that index 10% higher before it tags the Red Box.

Join my Telegram channel to get instant notifications of new published updates.

More To Explore

$ES: Direct Breakdown or a Trickly Failed Breakout Scenario

$ES #short setup The rally from October 17 forms a clean a–b–c corrective advance, which I label as wave (y)

CastAwayTrader October 22, 2025

$ETHUSD $ETH: Bulls Can Push #Etherium to a New All Time High

$ETHUSD $ETH #long setup The macro wave count considers the A up, B down, C up move off the 2022

CastAwayTrader October 21, 2025

Important Disclaimer

CastAway Trader LLC, the publisher of this web-site and videos is not registered as an investment adviser nor a broker/dealer with either the U. S. Securities & Exchange Commission or any state securities regulatory authority. Users of the website www.castawaytrader.com and viewers of the videos are advised that all information presented on the website is solely for informational purposes, is not intended to be used as a personalized investment recommendation, and is not attuned to any specific portfolio or to any user’s particular investment needs or objectives.

Trading stocks, options, or futures carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. CastAway Trader LLC provides general overview of trading methods that does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this website must not be construed as personal advice. All trading setups and/or trades presented in the web site and/or trading chat room by CastAway Trader an/or by other members of the chat should be considered hypothetical for educational purposes only and should not be expected to be replicated in a live trading account.

An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. You should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style.

You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading. You should seek advice from an independent financial advisor.

Any information posted on this web site is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor is it to be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security. All users of the website must determine for themselves what specific investments to make or not make and are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors with respect to any investment decision. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. All opinions, analyses and information posted on the website are based on sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but should be independently verified, and no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, is made, including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. In addition, CastAwayTrader LLC and its officers and employees undertake no responsibility to notify such opinions, analyses or information or to keep such opinions, analyses or information current. Also be aware that the owners, officers and employees of the web site www.castawaytrader.com may have long or short positions in securities that may be discussed on the website, Premium Trading Chat room and/or in the videos posted by CastAway Trader LLC.

Past results are not indicative of future profits.