$ES #ES-mini #Elliott Wave
Bulls need to hold ES over 5,735 to keep the long setup alive. The macro bullish reversal shall be confirmed by a break back over the broke Yearly Support 5,809.

ES-mini 30 min chart
PLAN B: Short breakdown setup: go short upon break under 5,720, target 5,645.
The problem is the Friday recovery rally failed to break over the key resistance 5,809. This is why bears can argue that that rally simply completed a corrective -a- up, -b- down. -c- up structure of a subwave b up. That bearish scenario allows bears to push ES down to the Green target box:

ES-mini 15 min chart
SEASONALITY CHART:
Over the last 10 years SPY made the March bottom only after OPEX:

SPY March seasonality