$ES #es-mini futures #trading setup
The big idea behind the bullish expectations is that to complete the corrective (w) up, (x) down (y) up structure, bulls should push (y) up to the minimum required 76.4% ext of wave (w) up = 4,254:
To break neck of this bullish structure bears need to violate the immediate support 3,963. Break of that level even with a spike would open the door for decline to retest the October 2022 lows.
However, as long as bulls hold ES over 3,963 we can expect a slow grind higher that could last 1-2 weeks.
The main risk for bulls on a micro scale is that the structureless move up we got yesterday was a false start, a corrective subwave b up that can be followed by a spike down (making a higher low) triggered by FOMC event this afternoon.
But in that case even if we get a spike down, as long as it stays over theimmediate support 3,963 such a spike down will most likely be followed by a bullish reversal and a new stronger leg up.