$ES: NVDA Earnings Set Fire

  • CastAwayTrader
  • November 20, 2025
<<< Back to All Updates
<<< Macro Updates

$ES #green_zone #bulllish_reversal

On Tuesday and Wednesday I warned you that the corrective structure looked complete and Bulls had a setup to start a new five wave up rally. The market just waited for a trigger to break over resistance. And NVDA results gave the market a spark it needed to break over resistance

ES-mini 120 min chart

On Wed morning I noted:

…”What can make me conclude that ES might have bottomed? I would require bulls to reclaim the broken weekly support 6,715“

This week I published my brand new indicator, Weekly Opening Range. That tool has turned out to be a great success. Look:

The idea behind that trading strategy is to measure the trading range formed in morning hours of Monday and trade in direction of a breakout.

When ES crossed under the green weekly support 6,714.75 we expected bears to test the S1 level 6,654.75.

When price bounced up off the S1 level and came back up to the broken weekly support 6,714.75 but bulls failed to reclaim it, we expected next another trip down to S2 level.

Note how S2 level perfectly caught the bottom this week!

Yesterday at close I posted for subscribers of my Premium Chat room an update saying that the fact that bulls reclaimed S1 and then managed to stop a bearish pullback OVER S1 gave a bullish signal.

And while I am typing this update ES has approached the red Weekly Resistance 6,775.

Essentially ES came back to where it started the Monday! That essentially means that all teh bears who went short on the move down on Monday – Tuesday got trapped:

Now ES approached a resistance band that starts with 6,775, the Weekly Resistance and goes up to 6,800. Bears turned ES down off 6,800 level many times. We can count the move up as a micro wave -i- up that should be followed by a corrective wave -ii- down.

BONUS: NVDA

Yesterday morning at 9:16 AM EST I posted in my Premium Chat room a bullish outlook for upcoming earnings:

“Bulls have a good setup to produce a corrective move up in a subwave -c- of wave (b) up.

192.50 is a key resistance for that bounce. In the worst case scenario, bears may stop the bounce at 192.50 and turn NVDA down starting another big leg down. In a bullish scenario, the 192.50 resistance will only produce a shallow pullback and then will be followed by the second micro leg up to 195.50 with potential extension up to 200.50.“

NVDA 30 min chart

Note how well the Weekly Levels help to navigate the market moves:

Rally in NVDA spiked up to R2 weekly level of resistance 198.96.

Subscribe to Free Updates

Get Unlimited Access

PrevPrevious$ES: What Spark Bulls Need to Start a Rally?

More To Explore

$ES: NVDA Earnings Set Fire

$ES #green_zone #bulllish_reversal On Tuesday and Wednesday I warned you that the corrective structure looked complete and Bulls had a

CastAwayTrader November 20, 2025

$ES: What Spark Bulls Need to Start a Rally?

$ES #bullish reversal #bottom The macro wave count allows bulls to turn ES up and start a new five wave

CastAwayTrader November 19, 2025

Important Disclaimer

CastAway Trader LLC, the publisher of this web-site and videos is not registered as an investment adviser nor a broker/dealer with either the U. S. Securities & Exchange Commission or any state securities regulatory authority. Users of the website www.castawaytrader.com and viewers of the videos are advised that all information presented on the website is solely for informational purposes, is not intended to be used as a personalized investment recommendation, and is not attuned to any specific portfolio or to any user’s particular investment needs or objectives.

Trading stocks, options, or futures carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. CastAway Trader LLC provides general overview of trading methods that does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this website must not be construed as personal advice. All trading setups and/or trades presented in the web site and/or trading chat room by CastAway Trader an/or by other members of the chat should be considered hypothetical for educational purposes only and should not be expected to be replicated in a live trading account.

An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. You should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style.

You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading. You should seek advice from an independent financial advisor.

Any information posted on this web site is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor is it to be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security. All users of the website must determine for themselves what specific investments to make or not make and are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors with respect to any investment decision. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. All opinions, analyses and information posted on the website are based on sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but should be independently verified, and no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, is made, including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. In addition, CastAwayTrader LLC and its officers and employees undertake no responsibility to notify such opinions, analyses or information or to keep such opinions, analyses or information current. Also be aware that the owners, officers and employees of the web site www.castawaytrader.com may have long or short positions in securities that may be discussed on the website, Premium Trading Chat room and/or in the videos posted by CastAway Trader LLC.

Past results are not indicative of future profits.

Subscribe to Free Updates

Get Unlimited Access