$SPX: Finishing the Ending Diagonal and Gann’s Projection of the TOP

  • CastAwayTrader
  • June 11, 2025
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$SPX $S&P #Ending Diagonal #topping

S&P cash index has the cleanest wave count at this point:

S&P 500, Daily chart

That wave count considers the rally off the April’25 low as some subwave A of wave 5 up that is supposed to re-test the Feb’25 top (6,147).

zooming-in:

SPX, Daily chart

What that chart tells you is that you may consider going short at 6,085 and higher (in the Red Box).

And S&P will start looking attractive for longs on a drop down to 5,923.

Note that this grinding move up looks like an ending diagonal, a pattern composed of three a-b-c swings up and two swings down within boundaries created by two contracting trend lines. When that pattern gets completed we normally get a strong and deep drop down to the low made by the first corrective pullback (see the micro target 2 = 5,842).

Interestingly, there is a Gann 6×270 degree projection off the April’25 low pointing to a potential top in SPX cash index at 6,167.

for ES-mini the Gann’s Levels indicator points to 6 × 270° projection = 6,164 → Next projected top.

This afternoon decline can be counted as a micro wave iv down:

SPX 15 min chart

Ideally I would like bears to test the lower boundary of the contracting price channel and then I would expect bulls to produce another strong blow-off to move up overshooting the upper trend line in the final micro wave v up.

A blow off top move would complete that bearish looking ascending triangle and set the stage for a strong drop down to 5,842.

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