Let’s start from a very bearish “consensus” scenario:
Under that count RTY follows the most common simple (A) down, (B) up, (C) down structure:
Under that count price has only started a new five wave down structure of wave (C) down:
Bears try to count the decline off the mid August 2022 as an impulsive structure:
Under that Very Bearish wave count shown above RTY should keep going down in five wave structure under 1,000.
The problem is that I do not like that count because all corrective pullbacks lacked a-b-c subdivision and the slope of this drop is away too steep for (i) down, (ii) up, -i- down, -ii- up setup…
Below is my preferred scenario (RTY Primary W-X-Y count):
- The structure of the decline off the mid Aug high looks like the Double Three -w-x-y- structure.
- That move down could be the first leg down, a subwave A down inside an A down, B up, C down structure.
- Upon completion of an (a) up, (b) down, (c) up corrective pullback we should expect another very strong decline in wave C of (Y) down.