$ES #Es-mini #mental rules #getting to a Pro level
Nothing changed in my macro view. The market has room to push higher (see the Red Box):
ES-mini 120 min chart
This push up could still be counted as a micro subwave b up that despite its corrective nature managed to make a new All Time High. A corrective wave b up making a new all time high is is an undisputable sign of strength of the prevailing bullish momentum.
When we zoom-in to a 5 mi chart we do not have that clarity.
Yesterday morning we correctly predicted a move down off the micro Red Box. However, that move down did not tag the target at the broken Monthly Resistance:
ES-mini 5 min chart
What we got yesterday was a clean corrective decline that held OVER the BROKEN Resistance->turned support. That is another bullish sign.
So bulls may conclude that the subwave -b- down of wave -iii- up bottomed yesterday.
In that case Bulls are working on a starting micro i up, ii down long setup that allows them to start another leg up n a subwave -c- of wave-iii- up targeting 6,612 – 6,638.
The big question though is if the yesterday move down actually completed a corrective wave -b- down.
I can argue that it did not:
ES-mini 120 min chart
So here you face a dilemma, to bet money on the macro bullish outlook despite potential of one more move down or, sit on sidelines waiting for one more push down that may not come. So in that case your risk is that you may miss a strong leg up.
Here’s how I handle situations like this when deciding whether to put real money on a chart:
In 90% of similar cases, I will not go long if my green box — my ideal entry — was never tagged. I trade on my own terms. If the market gives me the sweet a-b-c down I’m waiting for, I act.
But if the market refuses to cooperate, I stay on the sidelines. Even here, I am willing to let the market “do the right thing” and complete a proper corrective structure. If it wants my money, it needs to show me cooperation first.
This is how you flip the table. You do not have to take every mediocre setup. You set your rules, and it’s up to the market to play by them.
The market is designed to disorient you and force emotional reactions.
Stay calm. Don’t flinch. Don’t chase.
In moments like these, the market tempts you to react — first by blaming yourself for missing the move, then by pressuring you to join late. That self-blaming voice says: “We missed it — just get in now.”
But that is precisely when you must stay calm. Missing a move is not failure. It is part of trading. More often than not, patience rewards you with a new, cleaner entry.
Yes, sometimes price will simply run away. That’s OK. Each time you resist the temptation to chase, you build emotional strength. You prove to yourself that you can wait for your setup instead of being dragged by the market’s chaos.