$NQ: Bullish Macro Scenario: Where Bears Can Produce A Pullback

  • CastAwayTrader
  • May 21, 2025
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$NQ #NQ-mini #Macro

The Bullish Macro scenario allows bulls to produce a five wave up rally off the early April low:

NQ-mini 120 min chart

If we zoom-in to a 30 min chart we can see that Bulls are squeezing the final push up in a subwave -c- of wave -v- up out of the Green Box:

NQ-mini 30 min chart

That micro count allows bulls to push NQ up to 21,677 – 21,780.

That wave count argues for a large -a-b-c move down (subwave (b) down of wave ( iii ) up) off that upper Red Target box down to 21,150 – 20,820.

The AFETRNOON UPDATE posted at 3-27 PM EST

That drop confirms that the subwave (a) of wave ( iii ) up has topped and the subwave (b) down of wave ( iii ) up has started:

NQ-mini 30 min chart


NQ has hit a strong support of the 138.2% ext = 21,090. If bears manage to break it I would expect an extension down to 20,961.

I count that a-b-c move down as a wave -a- down that should be followed by a corrective wave -b- up that can easily retrace 50% of that drop.

That micro wave count implies a bounce at least up to 21,340 (a 50% retracement of that drop.

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