$NQ: Approached the Major Crossroads

$NQ #Conflicting Scenarios #Elliott Wave

The Nasdaq (NQ) is tracing a structure that closely resembles that of the ES-mini (discussed in the weekend update). Bears are still clinging to the possibility of halting this rally at the classic Fibonacci resistance zone—specifically, the 123.6% to 138.2% extension of the initial leg up off the early April low.

This zone often marks the termination point of a three-wave corrective bounce, particularly when it unfolds after a major low.

NQ-mini 30 min chart

That same Fibonacci range also serves as a common topping area for subwave A of wave 3 up within a standard five-wave advance:

📊 In both bullish and corrective scenarios, this area becomes a recurring inflection point.

That puts us at a critical crossroads.

To validate the bullish case, we need to see a flat and shallow a–b–c pullback from the potential high of subwave (a) of wave (iii) up. This would pave the way for a continuation in the form of micro wave –v–.

🔍 Key Level to Watch: 20,824
As long as bulls defend 20,824, there’s room for one more squeeze higher—targeting 21,754 in the final push of micro wave –v–.

AFTERNOON UPDATE posted at 11-50 AM

NQ-mini 30 min chart

The pre-market decline was all of the wave -iv- down. That move up looks like a start of the wave -v- up. The target 1 for this move up is a negative -138.2% ext = 21,663. This morning I noted:

…”As long as bulls defend 20,824, there’s room for one more squeeze higher“.

That wave -v- up should be followed by at least a large -a-b-c- down corrective structure that can test the key micro support 20,824.

Subscribe to Free Updates

Get Unlimited Access

More To Explore

$NQ: Approached the Major Crossroads

$NQ #Conflicting Scenarios #Elliott Wave The Nasdaq (NQ) is tracing a structure that closely resembles that of the ES-mini (discussed

CastAwayTrader May 19, 2025

$ES: Bears Will Get Active Again

$ES #ES-mini #Elliott Wave #trading setup It’s always easy to recognize a completed five-wave rally after the fact.But in real

CastAwayTrader May 18, 2025

Important Disclaimer

CastAway Trader LLC, the publisher of this web-site and videos is not registered as an investment adviser nor a broker/dealer with either the U. S. Securities & Exchange Commission or any state securities regulatory authority. Users of the website www.castawaytrader.com and viewers of the videos are advised that all information presented on the website is solely for informational purposes, is not intended to be used as a personalized investment recommendation, and is not attuned to any specific portfolio or to any user’s particular investment needs or objectives.

Trading stocks, options, or futures carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. CastAway Trader LLC provides general overview of trading methods that does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. The content of this website must not be construed as personal advice. All trading setups and/or trades presented in the web site and/or trading chat room by CastAway Trader an/or by other members of the chat should be considered hypothetical for educational purposes only and should not be expected to be replicated in a live trading account.

An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. You should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style.

You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading. You should seek advice from an independent financial advisor.

Any information posted on this web site is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor is it to be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security. All users of the website must determine for themselves what specific investments to make or not make and are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors with respect to any investment decision. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. All opinions, analyses and information posted on the website are based on sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but should be independently verified, and no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, is made, including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. In addition, CastAwayTrader LLC and its officers and employees undertake no responsibility to notify such opinions, analyses or information or to keep such opinions, analyses or information current. Also be aware that the owners, officers and employees of the web site www.castawaytrader.com may have long or short positions in securities that may be discussed on the website, Premium Trading Chat room and/or in the videos posted by CastAway Trader LLC.

Past results are not indicative of future profits.